← Grand Archive Store Championship
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Grand Archive Store Championship
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
3-1-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
64.4%
avg ELO +9.2 per match
expected value
55.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1123
· median 1123
· range 1123–1123
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1085
Q1 1123
Q3 1225
1373
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 23.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +1.7 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 15.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
